Ticket maker exacta betting

However, this horse has shown no desire to be in the first flight since stretching longer than a mile. I would imagine the more likely placement would be closer to 3 Nest and 6 Mo Donegal. Belmont Stakes Pace Scenarios When constructing vertical tickets I like to look at different pace outcomes. Here are my trifecta tickets based on different pace scenarios and build trifectas around them. If speed holds it is hard not to see both 1 We The People and 5 Creative Minister not hitting the board.

Likely next tier horses that could dink up into the number would be 3 Nest, 6 Mo Donegal, and 8 Barber Road. If the race ends up formful it feels like 6 Mo Donegal has to be involved in the trifecta with a lot of the other moderate priced horses. If the pace melts down, which is the least likely scenario in my estimation, the race should be an easy victory for 6 Mo Donegal and 4 Rich Strike becomes a much bigger player.

Examples would include betting the top 2 speeds in the race or paring 1 speed with 1 closer. Ultimately the key is composing a betting strategy that combines your handicapping opinion with your bankroll limitations. DRF Bets also offers a free ticket maker tool that can help with your bet construction as well as calculate potential payouts of your different wagers. Betting News Free Handicapping Tools For more information on racing from all of the Belmont Park action, check out our free handicapping tools.

Along with handicapping and betting, Chris has worked as a teller at his local track and participated in ownership partnerships. He now enjoys sharing his passion with his wife and two young daughters who love going out to the track each and every summer. Latest on Betting News.

That should make him a big underlay if that's the case, so don't expect anything close to true odds. It's not impossible, Ken McPeek has won a Triple Crown race with a long shot before -- Sarava -- and I wouldn't fault anyone who uses him on a spread ticket and wants to be deep in the race. It's just going to take a perfectly timed ride from Corey Lanerie or a couple of main contenders to not fire and some racing luck. In talking with most people, the answer appears to be yes.

The next question is whether Messier will do what Authentic and Medina Spirit did in the past, re-breaking on the lead and wiring the field. I'm not as sure about that as he had a public workout in a horrible edition of the Robert B. Messier beat the 4, 3 and 5 horses in his three wins -- he'll have to essentially wire 19 others here. I'm not feeling it, but then again I didn't see it with Authentic or Medina Spirit either and we saw how that ended.

If you are looking for reasons to like him, I guess one could say he's 3-for-3 on a fast track and should get a stalking trip. But this is a massive step up in class, and I just can't see him factoring into anything. His off-the-pace trip might have been the result of the bad start in the Florida Derby or an educational experience for a potential run here. He has every right to improve in his second start against winners and be a pace factor.

He won his first race as an odds-on favorite at Ellis Park in a short field, but that's the only dirt win he has. His best run has been on the synthetics and turf, where he has won four of five starts. Coming off a three-month layoff, maybe he needed the race? Or maybe he didn't like Gulfstream? But there's also reason you can forgive him for the clunker at Grants Pass Downs. And if you can do that, you're getting a horse that has some tactical speed and can finish at a monster price. He'll be on my tickets in all spots as he has a good bit of long-shot appeal.

He has arguably the best jockey in the country in Flavien Prat and landed a good spot in the post draw. The only thing to knock is Chad Brown's relative lack of success in the Kentucky Derby -- one in-the-money finish from six starters. I'm sure there will be those out there who can't stomach betting the Derby favorite -- and that is fine. There's very little, if anything, to suggest he will not run his race Saturday and at the very least post a top-three finish. He will be the cornerstone of my wagering strategy here.

Pioneer of Medina Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Joe Bravo This one has the look of a total vanity entry who is just there to run around the track. He should have been closer to the lead in both of his stakes tries, but wasn't. Now the blinkers come off for a horse that has been pretty punch-less when the real running happens.

I can't imagine Pioneer of Medina was very highly thought of in the Pletcher barn from the start, being sent from Monmouth to the Calder meet at Gulfstream to Tampa. Put Taiba in the winner's circle Saturday. Nothing against this horse, who is clearly talented, as evidenced by his two eye-popping wins to start his career. Now you must ask why he has one listed work since the Santa Anita Derby.

Why did he wind up on the vet's list as "unsound"? Is he being rushed along to start here by his owner? He's clearly the lightning rod starter here and every bit of me wants to completely toss him based on the workout issues and this being his third lifetime start.

But there's also part of me that thinks it's almost too obvious to completely toss him. He will be a big overlay as a result and he may be the most talented colt with the biggest upside. Simplification Trainer: Antonio Sano Jockey: Jose Ortiz I really want to use Simplification with confidence, but will Jose Ortiz ride him the correct way and give him the trip he had at the Fountain of Youth Stakes, or will he be sent on the lead as he was before tiring in the Florida Derby?

He had a bit of a bounce coming off a career-best finish at the Fountain of Youth. He had excuses in both races against White Abarrio, so I don't think he should be double the price of that one. Maybe he's not good enough, but at I'm happy to invest and find out. He's a dead closer and while he has clunked up for pieces at Oaklawn, I just can't see him better than fourth here for a trainer who hasn't done much in graded stakes, and he was easily beaten by Cyberknife.

I like him because he's versatile and while his worst lifetime race and Beyer Speed Figure came on this track last year, he may have just developed from 2 to 3 in the care of Saffie Joseph and that race can be thrown out. He has made up six lengths on Smile Happy, but can he beat the likes of Zandon? Maybe not, but he's another one that can win and will be on my tickets. I had him in the Arkansas Derby and I'll have him here. I'm not expecting anywhere close to though.

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