Week 11 nfl betting predictions week 10

Every time Philadelphia looks like they can be trusted, they seem to blow it. Reminds me of another NFC bird team. The pick: Dolphins Spread: Dolphins While the offense is still unreliable, they do get to face the flailing Jets this week. New York made the puzzling decision to go to Joe Flacco this week after Mike White predictably fell back to earth. On the other, Washington did just pull off the upset over Tampa Bay. The Panthers are a legit defense, and I think the offense with Newton at the helm is at least functional enough to keep them in games.

Washington is a high-variance team, but I think we see the lesser version on Sunday. Another test approaches in the Colts, who have been unpredictable but have managed to find ways to win close games. Meanwhile, the Browns were just obliterated by the Patriots to the tune of This is setting up to be a steamrolling by an angry Cleveland team, which should be getting Nick Chubb back for this game. The pick: 49ers Spread: 49ers Jacksonville has been more competitive lately, upsetting the Bills and playing a close game against the Colts.

The Titans have established themselves as one of the few consistently good teams in the league, despite their injury situation. Meanwhile, the Texans are arguably the worst team in the league. The pick: Packers Spread: Packers Minnesota is one of the most maddeningly inconsistent teams in the league this year, but they always seem to find themselves in close games.

They face another capable defense in Chicago this week, and the Bears have been playing better on offense in recent weeks as well. Kyler Murray is trending toward return and Arizona and James Conner should be able to run all over a Seattle defense that has allowed the eighth-most rushing yards per game, the most receiving yards per game and an Arizona leads the league with a Kyler returns, and the Cards cover this spread.

Home-field advantage should play a factor here, but I think the Colts keep it close. Wentz had gone six games straight with at least 2 touchdown passes, which was halted by the Jaguars last weekend. He will face the second-ranked defense in pass yards The Colts bring a solid game plan, avoid the turnovers and keep this one close.

N'awlins wins outright. Richard's Season Record: Will Laws' Best Bet: Bengals -1 Cincinnati should establish its aerial attack against a Raiders defense that last week proved to be the cure for whatever ailed Patrick Mahomes, who threw for a season-high passing yards and wasn't sacked once during Kansas City's blowout win in Las Vegas.

Joe Mixon should also have a good day at the office against a defense that's long struggled to stop the run. The Raiders have lost four of their last six games while enduring the departures of their head coach and best wide receiver amid awful circumstances, and it feels like the wheels could be coming off in another late-season collapse for a franchise that's suffered plenty of them. I'll take the Bengals coming off of their bye. Joe Flacco making his first start of the season, combined with a Jets defense that is the worst in the NFL.

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Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis. Most recently, the Saints lost to Atlanta in Week 9 and managed to cover as 3-point pups in a loss at Tennessee last week. That sets up another rebound spot at Philadelphia in Week 11, with New Orleans catching two points on the road. The Eagles have hung their hats on their running game in recent weeks, ranking fourth in EPA per handoff since Week 7. However, those ground gains came against defenses ranked 16th, 23rd, 29th, and 32nd in Run Defense DVOA at Football Outsiders — an advanced metric topped by none other than New Orleans.

This game could go a long way towards advancing Dak Prescott in the MVP conversation, because narratives matter and a good game against a public team albeit one with a questionable defense is likely to move the needle. About that questionable defense…the Chiefs have allowed 16 points per game in their last five games after allowing 33 per game in the first five. Part of that is just facing fewer explosive offenses.

Any way you slice it, Tom Brady had two of his worst games as a Buc his last two times out. Incidentally, his three worst games by Total Points Earned per play are all against the Saints. Keep that in mind for Week When an offense gets more conservative, you usually see a drop in total production but less pressure on the quarterback and more accurate passes.

On those passes, Brady has been a bottom-five passer according to Total Points since Week 7. Prior to that point, he was one of the best in the NFL in that split while also throwing that direction more than anyone. The Giants are coming off a bye and have won two of three, playing the Chiefs tough in their one loss in that span. They absolutely laid waste to the Panthers in Week 7, pressuring Sam Darnold half the time and sacking him six times.